Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 23.406954 27.102240 31.124153 35.817885 41.136100 46.965441 53.829232
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 16.970971 21.977020 27.974402 35.646075 45.151511 56.491586 70.988947
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 12.844344 18.208082 25.146146 34.683213 47.341647 63.441655 85.322583
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 10.420018 15.942315 23.557799 34.664270 50.250904 71.115407 100.873724
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 8.755062 14.328900 22.458833 34.938224 53.305545 78.976938 117.098058
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.915522 12.091121 20.063139 32.916996 52.710786 81.521915 125.944073
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 6.164165 11.398716 19.840261 34.020540 56.686967 90.792308 145.004846
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 5.680822 11.053781 20.085055 35.822416 61.823904 102.106302 167.866732
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 4.818059 9.899159 18.823678 34.986327 62.628061 106.765624 180.822311
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.982169 8.646132 17.209005 33.325443 61.846178 108.760291 189.611753
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.807253 8.626472 17.780367 35.521787 67.739530 121.930156 217.208254
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.775115 8.883747 18.883180 38.768489 75.702151 139.039092 252.339086
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.365201 8.324277 18.420461 39.181673 78.881572 148.677443 276.322776
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.903040 7.577105 17.501578 38.646804 80.338860 155.568446 296.350971
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.460556 6.786123 16.372691 37.543761 80.589260 160.300209 312.907260
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.170379 6.297427 15.809351 37.509881 82.869197 168.834844 336.788843
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.942723 5.917896 15.427889 37.801163 85.796751 178.748606 363.806970
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.590238 5.135299 14.001416 35.631181 83.466704 178.476163 371.814173
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.480496 4.993128 14.071174 36.815654 88.245044 192.277430 407.343473
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.419230 4.977765 14.449125 38.749218 94.788192 209.990079 451.476886
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.227335 4.531852 13.671220 37.852100 95.048009 215.087955 471.219858
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.024858 4.002794 12.588711 36.069524 93.134622 215.564273 481.745043
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.007485 4.072683 13.136812 38.426659 100.898126 236.704742 535.295725